[Imc-miami] Election Day Volunteers FOR MoveOn needed in North Dade

[JollyJack at aol.com]

Dear Friends,
The big push is here! We need to turn out as many voters as we can on and 
make sure that they are counted!  If any of you have not volunteered yet  MoveOn 
can use your help here in Northeast Dade. Please call me at 305-582-4846 if 
you can volunteer.

Best Regards,
Jack Lieberman

  
Dear Jack,
First, a couple of quick but important notes:
We need a big day today to make sure we have enough Kerry voters on our list 
on Tuesday. It's a good day to do a big push talking to voters, either in 
person or over the phones.

If you can, please enter your data in the WAC today. You should definitely 
keep talking to voters and entering results tomorrow, too, but we need to stay 
as current as possible so that we can get a good picture of what's going on 
around the country by tonight. Also, if you can, it's a good idea to enter it at 
some time other than mid-evening - our system slows down when everyone tries 
to use it at once. And since we'll have lots of volunteers coming in for 
Election Day, we'll need everything up to date so that we can print walk lists and 
phone lists for them.

And if you haven't already, take some time today to assemble your 
election-day team. At the minimum, you'll want one person who can help you all day long. 
But the more people you can recruit, the more voters you can contact. One of 
my favorite stories recently is from a precinct leader who plied her volunteers 
by promising them a week of daily home-made soup delivery. Cookies work, too. 
Whatever it takes to get folks to commit. 
That's the logistical stuff. Now on to the fun part. Here's where I think the 
race stands:
Either candidate could still win, but the winds are blowing in Kerry's 
direction. Three separate tracking polls show Kerry edging up, as do several state 
polls, but it's clearly a tossup.

Somewhat to my surprise, the new Osama bin Laden tape hasn't had a 
significant effect on the race. And some recent polling suggests that the biggest effect 
it's had is to remind people that Osama's still on the loose - three years 
after Bush said he was going to get him "dead or alive."

On Tuesday, we're going to turn out huge numbers of people who are 
under-represented in the current polls. All the political experts believe it'll come 
down to turnout, which, despite being a cliché, is absolutely true.

Given the first three points above, if the energy that we saw in the rallies 
from New Hampshire to Nevada yesterday is any indication, and if that energy 
converts into doors knocked on and calls made and voters turned out to the 
polls, we win. 
The rally in Denver, Colorado that I attended last night was thunderous, and 
all 1,800 MoveOn members were stomping, shouting, and clapping when Al Gore 
ascended the stage. Every last vote counts, Gore began: "If you run into anyone 
who thinks different, you tell them to talk to me." Then he described the 
litany of mistakes the Bush administration has made: "They said we'd be greeted 
with flowers in Iraq, but they were wrong. They said that they were going to 
create jobs, but they were wrong. They said they would stop budget deficits, but 
they were wrong. And now they say that they are going to win on Tuesday, and 
they're wrong about that, too."
But it was what Gore said near the end of his speech that caught my 
attention. "At this point four years ago, I was down by five points," he said, "outside 
the margin of error." (Here's what Wolf Blitzer had to say on the Friday 
night before the election: "The new CNN/USA Gallup Tracking Poll results are being 
released at this hour. It shows George W. Bush with 48 percent, Al Gore 43 
percent, Ralph Nader with 4 percent, Pat Buchanan with 1 percent. And those 
numbers are similar to other tracking polls. . .")
So why did he win the popular vote? What were the polls missing? The answer, 
he said, was simple: Turnout, fed by a Democratic passion that was 
under-represented in the polls.
And with two days to go, with the tens of thousands of you who are working 
your tails off across the country, if passion is the X-factor in this 
nail-bitingly close race, we're going to have a new President on Tuesday.
Keep your hopes high and your passion strong, and cook your volunteers some 
soup. I'll talk to you all tomorrow.
--Eli


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